Centennial vs Phoenix

The short version

  • Phoenix is cheaper overall: prices in its metro run 2% lower than in the Centennial area (BEA 2024).
  • The median home costs $420,700 in Phoenix and $658,100 in Centennial.
  • Households earn more in Centennial ($131,928 vs $81,332 median).
  • Phoenix has the warmer winter: January highs of 68°F vs 45°F.
  • Centennial gets far more snow: 34 inches a year vs 0.
  • Phoenix has more scorching days: 173 a year at 90°F or hotter vs 32.
  • Phoenix is growing faster: +3.6% since 2020 vs +0.6%.

Side by side

Centennial, COPhoenix, AZ
People
Population (2025)108,6581,665,481
Growth since 2020+0.6%+3.6%
People per square mile3,6033,213
Median age42.034.9
Bachelor's degree or higher63%34%
Money and housing
Median household income$131,928$81,332
Median home value$658,100$420,700
Home value to income5.0×5.2×
Median rent (with utilities)$2,148$1,582
Metro price level (US = 100)105.8103.3
Housing price level (US = 100)146.9121.2
$75,000 elsewhere equals$79,300$77,500
Homeowners81%57%
Top state income tax4.4%2.5%
Combined sales tax7.89%8.54%
Work and commute
Average commute (minutes)25.925.6
Work from home27%19%
Take public transit1%2%
Unemployment (2020-24 avg)4.6%5%
Poverty rate3.3%13.7%
Weather
January high / low45° / 19°68° / 46°
July high / low87° / 59°107° / 85°
Precipitation per year15 in7 in
Snowfall per year34 in0 in
Days 90°F or hotter32173
Nights below freezing1551
Comfortable months46
Risks, air and home prices
Natural hazard risk (FEMA, county)Relatively ModerateVery High
FEMA risk score (lower is safer)93.899.9
Good air days, 202529%7%
Home prices, past year-0.5%+0.8%
Home prices, past 5 years+21.4%+35.8%

Highlighted cells are the better value where "better" is clear (lower prices, higher income, shorter commutes). Sources: Census Bureau 2025 estimates and ACS 2020-2024, BEA 2024, NOAA 1991-2020, Tax Foundation 2026.

Weather, month by month

10°20°30°40°50°60°70°80°90°100°110°JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Centennial Phoenix. Solid lines are average highs, dashed lines average lows (°F), NOAA 1991-2020 normals.

Most comfortable months: Centennial: May to June and August to September. Phoenix: November to April.

Full monthly tables: Centennial weather by month and Phoenix weather by month.

What $75,000 is worth

A $75,000 salary in an average-priced US city buys about the same as $79,300 in Centennial and $77,500 in Phoenix. Moving from Centennial to Phoenix, you would need about $73,300 to match a $75,000 salary.

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Moving between Centennial and Phoenix

693people moved from Arapahoe County, CO to Maricopa County, AZ in a year
536moved the other way

IRS county-to-county migration, 2022 to 2023 tax years, for the counties that contain each city. See where else people move from Centennial and Phoenix.

Which would you pick?

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