Lincoln vs Phoenix

The short version

  • Lincoln is cheaper overall: prices in its metro run 11% lower than in the Phoenix area (BEA 2024).
  • The median home costs $264,000 in Lincoln and $420,700 in Phoenix.
  • Households earn more in Phoenix ($81,332 vs $71,867 median).
  • Phoenix has the warmer winter: January highs of 68°F vs 36°F.
  • Lincoln gets far more snow: 26 inches a year vs 0.
  • Phoenix has more scorching days: 173 a year at 90°F or hotter vs 42.
  • Commutes are shorter in Lincoln (18 vs 26 minutes each way).

Side by side

Lincoln, NEPhoenix, AZ
People
Population (2025)301,5221,665,481
Growth since 2020+3.5%+3.6%
People per square mile2,9823,213
Median age33.434.9
Bachelor's degree or higher42%34%
Money and housing
Median household income$71,867$81,332
Median home value$264,000$420,700
Home value to income3.7×5.2×
Median rent (with utilities)$1,086$1,582
Metro price level (US = 100)91.6103.3
Housing price level (US = 100)84.2121.2
$75,000 elsewhere equals$68,700$77,500
Homeowners56%57%
Top state income tax4.55%2.5%
Combined sales tax6.98%8.54%
Work and commute
Average commute (minutes)18.425.6
Work from home11%19%
Take public transit1%2%
Unemployment (2020-24 avg)3.3%5%
Poverty rate12.7%13.7%
Weather
January high / low36° / 14°68° / 46°
July high / low89° / 67°107° / 85°
Precipitation per year29 in7 in
Snowfall per year26 in0 in
Days 90°F or hotter42173
Nights below freezing1431
Comfortable months26
Risks, air and home prices
Natural hazard risk (FEMA, county)Relatively ModerateVery High
FEMA risk score (lower is safer)90.799.9
Good air days, 2025n/a7%
Home prices, past year+2.1%+0.8%
Home prices, past 5 years+39.3%+35.8%

Highlighted cells are the better value where "better" is clear (lower prices, higher income, shorter commutes). Sources: Census Bureau 2025 estimates and ACS 2020-2024, BEA 2024, NOAA 1991-2020, Tax Foundation 2026.

Weather, month by month

10°20°30°40°50°60°70°80°90°100°110°JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Lincoln Phoenix. Solid lines are average highs, dashed lines average lows (°F), NOAA 1991-2020 normals.

Most comfortable months: Lincoln: June and September. Phoenix: November to April.

Full monthly tables: Lincoln weather by month and Phoenix weather by month.

What $75,000 is worth

A $75,000 salary in an average-priced US city buys about the same as $68,700 in Lincoln and $77,500 in Phoenix. Moving from Lincoln to Phoenix, you would need about $84,600 to match a $75,000 salary.

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Moving between Lincoln and Phoenix

224people moved from Lancaster County, NE to Maricopa County, AZ in a year
170moved the other way

IRS county-to-county migration, 2022 to 2023 tax years, for the counties that contain each city. See where else people move from Lincoln and Phoenix.

Which would you pick?

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