Merced vs San Bernardino

The short version

  • Merced is cheaper overall: prices in its metro run 8% lower than in the San Bernardino area (BEA 2024).
  • The median home costs $372,600 in Merced and $422,300 in San Bernardino.
  • Households earn more in San Bernardino ($67,415 vs $63,122 median).
  • San Bernardino has the warmer winter: January highs of 67°F vs 56°F.
  • Merced is growing faster: +11% since 2020 vs +0%.

Side by side

Merced, CASan Bernardino, CA
People
Population (2025)99,724222,044
Growth since 2020+11%+0%
People per square mile4,2903,575
Median age30.032.2
Bachelor's degree or higher20%13%
Money and housing
Median household income$63,122$67,415
Median home value$372,600$422,300
Home value to income5.9×6.3×
Median rent (with utilities)$1,393$1,508
Metro price level (US = 100)98.3106.4
Housing price level (US = 100)78.6129.3
$75,000 elsewhere equals$73,700$79,800
Homeowners46%50%
Top state income tax13.3%13.3%
Combined sales tax9.03%9.03%
Work and commute
Average commute (minutes)28.629.7
Work from home8%6%
Take public transit1%1%
Unemployment (2020-24 avg)11.3%6.1%
Poverty rate23.9%18.6%
Weather
January high / low56° / 37°67° / 41°
July high / low96° / 62°95° / 63°
Precipitation per year12 in13 in
Snowfall per year0 in0 in
Days 90°F or hotter100104
Nights below freezing283
Comfortable months46
Risks, air and home prices
Natural hazard risk (FEMA, county)Relatively HighVery High
FEMA risk score (lower is safer)96.999.8
Good air days, 202551%7%
Home prices, past year+0%+0.8%
Home prices, past 5 years+26.4%+35.9%

Highlighted cells are the better value where "better" is clear (lower prices, higher income, shorter commutes). Sources: Census Bureau 2025 estimates and ACS 2020-2024, BEA 2024, NOAA 1991-2020, Tax Foundation 2026.

Weather, month by month

30°40°50°60°70°80°90°100°JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Merced San Bernardino. Solid lines are average highs, dashed lines average lows (°F), NOAA 1991-2020 normals.

Most comfortable months: Merced: March to May and October. San Bernardino: February to May and October to November.

Full monthly tables: Merced weather by month and San Bernardino weather by month.

What $75,000 is worth

A $75,000 salary in an average-priced US city buys about the same as $73,700 in Merced and $79,800 in San Bernardino. Moving from Merced to San Bernardino, you would need about $81,200 to match a $75,000 salary.

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Moving between Merced and San Bernardino

74people moved from Merced County, CA to San Bernardino County, CA in a year
86moved the other way

IRS county-to-county migration, 2022 to 2023 tax years, for the counties that contain each city. See where else people move from Merced and San Bernardino.

Which would you pick?

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